Hows about a dolphin or porpoise?
Remember, a Dragon is for life!
I agree about the dolphin. Snout is right, and I think you can make out the blowholes on top of his head.
No need to think this was actually photographed in the lake. Could be in Seaworld or whatever.
The Kruger-Dunning effect is rampant on internet fora.
J. Kruger & D. Dunning (1999), Unskilled and unaware of it: how difficulties in recognizing one’s own incompetence lead to inflated self-assessments. J Pers Soc Psychol. 77, 1121-1134